Questions
Open · 12 of 40
US Q2 2026 real GDP, advance estimate (% SAAR, ~July 30 release)
numeric·2026-07-30·0 forecasts
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China polysilicon (solar-grade) spot price on August 1, 2026 (CNY/kg)
numeric·2026-08-01·0 forecasts
—
Combined full-year 2026 capex guidance of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta after Q2 earnings (USD billions)
numeric·2026-08-05·9 forecasts·disagreement 100%high
651
USD billions
Will any Big-4 hyperscaler cut or guide DOWN its 2026 AI capex at Q2 earnings?
binary·2026-08-05·9 forecasts·disagreement 20%moderate
19%
Combined Q2 2026 capital expenditure of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (USD billions)
numeric·2026-08-05·7 forecasts·disagreement 18%low
176
USD billions
Maximum PLA aircraft in any rolling 7-day window in Taiwan's ADIZ, June 1 – Aug 14, 2026
numeric·2026-08-14·1 forecast
131
aircraft
China crude steel output for July 2026 (NBS, million tonnes)
numeric·2026-08-15·0 forecasts
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Stargate operational AI-datacenter capacity as of August 21, 2026 (GW)
numeric·2026-08-21·0 forecasts
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Will the US and Russian presidents hold an in-person summit before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 78%high
45%
Will Iran restore IAEA inspector access to its bombed nuclear sites before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 16%low
15%
Which lab will ship the next frontier flagship model first, by August 21, 2026?
choice·2026-08-21·7 forecasts·disagreement 45%moderate
40%
None by Aug 21
Will Strait of Hormuz shipping return to normal (PortWatch 7-day MA ≥ 60) before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 28%moderate
33%