Questions
+ New questionOpen · 40
Will the ruling Democratic Party (DPK) win the Seoul mayoralty on June 3, 2026?
binary·2026-06-03·9 forecasts·disagreement 13%low
78%
By how many thousand barrels/day will OPEC+ change its collective production quota at its June 7, 2026 meeting?
numeric·2026-06-07·7 forecasts·disagreement 28%moderate
115
kb/d
Will OPEC+ announce another oil-output increase at its June 7, 2026 meeting?
binary·2026-06-07·9 forecasts·disagreement 27%moderate
50%
US headline CPI year-over-year in the May 2026 report (June 10 release)
discrete·2026-06-10·8 forecasts·disagreement 22%moderate
~4.2
46% on 4.1–4.4%
Will Apple commit at WWDC (June 8) that its overhauled Siri ships in 2026?
binary·2026-06-12·9 forecasts·disagreement 24%moderate
77%
US working natural gas in storage for the week ending June 12, 2026 (EIA, Bcf)
numeric·2026-06-18·9 forecasts·disagreement 100%high
3,036
Bcf
China battery-grade lithium carbonate spot price on June 19, 2026 (CNY/tonne)
numeric·2026-06-19·8 forecasts·disagreement 26%moderate
201,243
CNY/tonne
Total LME copper warehouse stock on June 19, 2026 (tonnes)
numeric·2026-06-19·9 forecasts·disagreement 16%low
396,914
tonnes
Will the left (Iván Cepeda / Pacto Histórico) win Colombia's 2026 presidency?
binary·2026-06-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 13%low
41%
US raw-steel capacity-utilization rate for the week ending June 20, 2026 (AISI)
numeric·2026-06-23·9 forecasts·disagreement 17%low
82.6
%
SpaceX implied market capitalization at its first-day close (USD trillions)
numeric·2026-06-30·8 forecasts·disagreement 100%high
1.8
USD trillions
SpaceX (SPCX) first-day closing share price (USD)
numeric·2026-06-30·8 forecasts·disagreement 39%moderate
187
USD per share
Which company will own the #1 model on the LMArena (Chatbot Arena) text leaderboard at end of June 2026?
choice·2026-06-30·9 forecasts·disagreement 17%low
49%
Anthropic
Will SpaceX begin trading on the Nasdaq before July 1, 2026?
binary·2026-07-01·8 forecasts·disagreement 13%low
85%
Will the Supreme Court uphold state bans on transgender athletes in girls'/women's sports this term?
binary·2026-07-03·9 forecasts·disagreement 20%low
83%
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of the Trump administration on birthright citizenship this term?
binary·2026-07-03·9 forecasts·disagreement 12%low
9.9%
By how many thousand barrels/day will OPEC+ change its collective production quota at its early-July 2026 meeting?
numeric·2026-07-06·7 forecasts·disagreement 14%low
101
kb/d
US 2026/27 corn production in the July 11, 2026 WASDE (billion bushels)
numeric·2026-07-11·0 forecasts
—
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a nationwide ceasefire before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 11%low
8.7%
Will Strategy (MSTR) report a reduction in its bitcoin holdings before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 39%moderate
24%
Will OpenAI announce a funding round or tender at a $1 trillion+ valuation before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 37%moderate
17%
Will Meta release a new flagship Llama model between May 22 and July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 23%moderate
15%
Will Tesla's robotaxi service operate in at least 2 additional US metros before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 21%moderate
23%
Will a court order Google to divest its AdX ad exchange before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 22%moderate
17%
Will Tesla release FSD v15 (the robotaxi-gating build) before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 21%moderate
14%
Will the US tighten AI-chip export controls toward China before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 50%high
44%
US Q2 2026 real GDP, advance estimate (% SAAR, ~July 30 release)
numeric·2026-07-30·0 forecasts
—
China polysilicon (solar-grade) spot price on August 1, 2026 (CNY/kg)
numeric·2026-08-01·0 forecasts
—
Combined full-year 2026 capex guidance of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta after Q2 earnings (USD billions)
numeric·2026-08-05·0 forecasts
—
Will any Big-4 hyperscaler cut or guide DOWN its 2026 AI capex at Q2 earnings?
binary·2026-08-05·9 forecasts·disagreement 20%moderate
19%
Combined Q2 2026 capital expenditure of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (USD billions)
numeric·2026-08-05·7 forecasts·disagreement 18%low
176
USD billions
Maximum PLA aircraft in any rolling 7-day window in Taiwan's ADIZ, June 1 – Aug 14, 2026
numeric·2026-08-14·1 forecast
131
aircraft
China crude steel output for July 2026 (NBS, million tonnes)
numeric·2026-08-15·0 forecasts
—
Stargate operational AI-datacenter capacity as of August 21, 2026 (GW)
numeric·2026-08-21·0 forecasts
—
Will the US and Russian presidents hold an in-person summit before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 78%high
45%
Will Iran restore IAEA inspector access to its bombed nuclear sites before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 16%low
15%
Which lab will ship the next frontier flagship model first, by August 21, 2026?
choice·2026-08-21·7 forecasts·disagreement 45%moderate
40%
None by Aug 21
Will Strait of Hormuz shipping return to normal (PortWatch 7-day MA ≥ 60) before August 21, 2026?
binary·2026-08-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 28%moderate
33%
Will Elon Musk merge SpaceX with Tesla?
binary·2027-01-01·9 forecasts·disagreement 21%moderate
14%
When will Elon Musk merge SpaceX with Tesla?
date·2031-01-01·0 forecasts
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