Questions

Open · 16 of 40

SpaceX implied market capitalization at its first-day close (USD trillions)
numeric·2026-06-30·8 forecasts·disagreement 100%high
1.8
USD trillions
SpaceX (SPCX) first-day closing share price (USD)
numeric·2026-06-30·8 forecasts·disagreement 39%moderate
187
USD per share
Which company will own the #1 model on the LMArena (Chatbot Arena) text leaderboard at end of June 2026?
choice·2026-06-30·9 forecasts·disagreement 17%low
49%
Anthropic
Will SpaceX begin trading on the Nasdaq before July 1, 2026?
binary·2026-07-01·8 forecasts·disagreement 13%low
85%
Will the Supreme Court uphold state bans on transgender athletes in girls'/women's sports this term?
binary·2026-07-03·9 forecasts·disagreement 20%low
83%
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of the Trump administration on birthright citizenship this term?
binary·2026-07-03·9 forecasts·disagreement 12%low
9.9%
By how many thousand barrels/day will OPEC+ change its collective production quota at its early-July 2026 meeting?
numeric·2026-07-06·7 forecasts·disagreement 14%low
101
kb/d
US 2026/27 corn production in the July 11, 2026 WASDE (billion bushels)
numeric·2026-07-11·8 forecasts·disagreement 47%moderate
16.1
billion bushels
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a nationwide ceasefire before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 11%low
8.7%
Will Strategy (MSTR) report a reduction in its bitcoin holdings before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 39%moderate
24%
Will OpenAI announce a funding round or tender at a $1 trillion+ valuation before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 37%moderate
17%
Will Meta release a new flagship Llama model between May 22 and July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 23%moderate
15%
Will Tesla's robotaxi service operate in at least 2 additional US metros before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 21%moderate
23%
Will a court order Google to divest its AdX ad exchange before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·8 forecasts·disagreement 22%moderate
17%
Will Tesla release FSD v15 (the robotaxi-gating build) before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 21%moderate
14%
Will the US tighten AI-chip export controls toward China before July 21, 2026?
binary·2026-07-21·9 forecasts·disagreement 50%high
44%